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Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Conflict Fuels Middle East Supply Fears

Global crude benchmarks climbed for a second session on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, driven by ongoing supply fears in the Middle East despite rising export numbers.

Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Conflict Fuels Middle East Supply Fears
Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Conflict Fuels Middle East Supply Fears

Global crude benchmarks climbed for a second session on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, driven by ongoing supply fears in the Middle East despite rising export numbers.

Crude Benchmarks Rise as Supply Concerns Persist

Oil prices moved higher on Tuesday as markets weighed the persistent threat of supply disruptions stemming from the conflict between the United States and Iran against incoming data showing a recovery in regional crude exports.

Futures for Brent crude rose 63 cents, or 0.6 percent, to settle at 105.91 dollars per barrel by 00:02 GMT, according to market reporting published by Reuters. At the same time, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 72 cents, or 0.8 percent, bringing its price to 93.32 dollars per barrel.

This upward momentum follows a prior jump in Brent futures reported by Anadolu Ajansı, which noted a 2.7 percent surge earlier in the week after diplomatic proposals stalled.

مضخة نفطية ومنصة حفر تعملان في حقل للنفط بجنوب ميدلاند في ولاية تكساس الأمريكية يوم 11 يونيو حزيران 2025. تصوير: إيلي
Photo: reuters.com

Export Recovery Meets Bottlenecks in the Persian Gulf

Preliminary data released by Kpler indicates that crude exports from major Middle Eastern producers rebounded to millions of barrels per day in September, marking the highest volume recorded since February. This recovery was powered primarily by increased shipments from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Even with higher export volumes leaving the region, logistical inefficiencies continue to keep pressure on prices. Analysts note that a significant share of these rising shipments relies on alternative transit methods, including ship-to-ship transfers.

سعر برنت يقفز 2.7 بالمئة إثر رفض ترامب مقترح إيران
Photo: Anadolu Ajansı

Those alternative logistical methods remain more costly and less efficient than standard operations, explaining why crude prices refuse to recede despite the larger headline export figures noted in regional financial reporting.

Stalled Ceasefire Talks Keep Markets on Edge

The underlying driver of market volatility remains the ongoing conflict that began in late February with joint U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, focusing intense geopolitical scrutiny on the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

Efforts to restart diplomatic resolutions faced hurdles after Washington rejected a seven-day ceasefire proposal submitted by Iran through Qatari intermediaries. U.S. leadership dismissed the initiative as inadequate, pointing to financial pressures placed on Tehran through naval enforcement.

Despite the diplomatic friction, U.S. and Iranian officials have continued separate consultations with mediators. Market watchers expect any upcoming discussions to center on a revised iteration of the proposed seven-day framework initially brought forward during the United Nations General Assembly.

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World Editor

Samira Rahman

Samira Rahman is the editorial identity for TellingPointy's World desk. Her coverage follows diplomacy, conflict, migration, security, climate, and global institutions through the decisions that change people's lives. Rahman's desk resists distant, map-level reporting: it identifies the actors, interests, evidence, and human consequences behind each development, distinguishes verified events from claims, and keeps historical context close enough to make breaking news intelligible.