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Mississippi Senate Race Too Close to Call Between Hyde-Smith and Colom

Mississippi woke up waiting on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, as a U.S. Senate race that most political forecasters expected to lock down safely for the GOP...

Mississippi Senate Race Too Close to Call Between Hyde-Smith and Colom

A Midnight Deadlock in Jackson Leaves Mississippi Waiting for Uncounted Ballots

Mississippi woke up waiting on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, as a U.S. Senate race that most political forecasters expected to lock down safely for the GOP turned into an unexpected nail-biter. Republican incumbent Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democratic challenger Scott Colom were sitting neck-and-neck well into the early morning hours, with the Associated Press holding off on calling a winner. According to reporting from mississippitoday.org, Colom was sitting in striking distance of what would mark a historic upset in a state where Republican control of Senate seats has stretched on for decades.

The razor-thin margin threw a sharp spotlight onto provisional votes still sitting in county election offices. Supertalk.fm reported that Colom held a narrow 28-vote lead over Hyde-Smith at a point when 97 percent of the statewide vote had been tabulated. Both camps dug in late Tuesday night, aware that thousands of uncounted affidavit ballots would ultimately decide whether Hyde-Smith secures a second full term or Colom pulls off the state’s first Democratic Senate victory since 1982.

Counting Provisional Ballots Across 82 Counties

The mechanics of the prolonged count center on outstanding paperwork and provisional ballots filed across Mississippi’s 82 counties. The Colom campaign estimated that roughly 10,000 to 15,000 affidavit ballots remained uncounted as dawn broke on Wednesday. Supertalk.fm noted that key counties including Madison, Hinds, Tate, Tishomingo, Calhoun, Warren, Scott, and Marion still had significant clusters of precincts reporting less than 99 percent of their returns.

Affidavit ballots are provisional votes cast when questions arise about a voter’s eligibility, such as missing an acceptable photo identification or attempting to vote at the wrong precinct within a county. Election officials review and verify these ballots after Election Day, meaning the final certification could take several days.

U.S. Senate race between Hyde-Smith, Colom too close to call as of early Wednesday morning
Photo: supertalk.fm

Tuesday. The legal filing argued that certain polling precincts opened late and ran out of ballots, asking a judge to keep specific locations open an additional hour. As of late Tuesday night, a judge had not yet been assigned to the case.

Republican Congressional Incumbents Secure Comfortable Margins Across Mississippi

The tightness of the Senate contest stood out against the rest of Mississippi’s congressional map, where other Republican incumbents secured comfortable margins. U.S. Reps. Trent Kelly, Michael Guest, and Mike Ezell all had their House races called earlier in the evening with leads exceeding 15 percentage points, as reported by Supertalk.fm. Meanwhile, Mississippi’s lone Democratic incumbent, Rep. Bennie Thompson, was reelected to his 18th term, holding a lead of more than 37 points as of Wednesday morning.

Mississippi Senate election is too close to call Tuesday night

That split ticket suggested thousands of voters pulled the lever for Republican candidates in House races while withholding their support from Hyde-Smith. It mirrored a broader national turbulence that caught local observers by surprise. Former Republican Governor Haley Barbour, speaking at Hyde-Smith’s watch party in Flowood, pointed to the gap between Tuesday’s returns and Donald Trump’s 24-point margin victory in Mississippi just two years prior.

“He isn’t winning by 24 points today,” Barbour said.

For her part, Hyde-Smith acknowledged the unexpected heavy lift during her address at the Sheraton Flowood The Refuge Hotel & Conference Center.

Democrat Scott Colom staying strong in Mississippi's U.S. Senate race

“This is a much longer night than we thought it would be,” Hyde-Smith told supporters. “But we’re in a good lead right now.”

Across town in Jackson, Colom addressed supporters at the Ice House, emphasizing the need to safeguard the remaining count. Colom told his supporters that he was going to fight to protect every vote and ensure that every vote counts.

With county election commissioners resuming their reviews of affidavit ballots on Wednesday morning, the outcome hinges entirely on those provisional envelopes.

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